Where does Hurricane Barry meet
BARRY on the way to the hurricane?
The tropical low has no name yet, storm strength has not yet been reached. In the meantime, however, the low pressure area has moved to the Gulf of Mexico, where more and more showers and thunderclouds are piling up above the 30 to 31 degree warm water, which, however, do not yet form around a clear center. That will change in the coming days, when the low turns into a tropical storm and also likely to be the first hurricane of the 2019 North Atlantic season. As soon as storm strength is reached, the new storm gets the name BARRY. The possible hurricane could hit Louisiana or Texas and, in addition to the high wind speeds, trigger a meter-high storm surge and above all heavy rains of over 500 liters per square meter with an enormous risk of flooding in and around New Orleans.
The low pressure area is very close to the coast of the US southern states with high clouds near the center. Close to the ground, however, the low is not very pronounced; it is still a long way from storm strength. Since there is currently a very strong northerly wind at high altitude and there are still too great wind differences between the ground and the altitude (wind shear), the development is likely to be slow at first. As soon as the wind shear weakens, the development can accelerate significantly. On Thursday the low can reach storm strength and thus get the name BARRY. Once a clear center emerges, everything can happen very quickly and the likelihood is high that the resulting storm will become the first hurricane of the 2019 North Atlantic season.
The resulting storm is carried with the prevailing current to the west and then northwest. It is still open, however, where he will likely meet the coast of Louisiana or Texas next weekend. The exact trajectory of the center is not so important, but the region in which the heaviest rainfall will occur. The storm that is forming is likely to move very slowly and thus unload very large amounts of rain regionally. The Louisiana coast is already being hit hard, with up to 150 liters of rain per square meter falling within just one hour on Wednesday:
WOW! MASSIVE flooding occurring in downtown New Orleans. 6 inches of rain has fall in an hour. (Radar Estimate) 🌀💦⛈🌊 # TROPICS # NOLA # 92L # BARRY # LAwx
VIDEO CREDIT🎥📸: Hank Gebhardt pic.twitter.com/qmm6Lb3wLQ
- Dylan Federico (@DylanFedericoWX) July 10, 2019
There is already significant flooding in some areas, and the Mississippi in New Orleans could hit or even exceed 20 feet on Saturday. This threatens further, severe flooding in the city and in parts of the US southern states.
BREAKING The Mississippi River is now forecast to crest near 20 feet on Saturday. Average levee height for New Orleans is 20 feet. # Barry @ FOX8NOLA @ Spannpic.twitter.com/reslVopmjq
- David Bernard (@DavidBernardTV) July 10, 2019
The first storm of the 2019 North Atlantic hurricane season occurred on May 20, far east of the US east coast. The subtropical storm ANDREA remained weak with wind speeds of up to about 65 km / h with a core pressure of 1006 hectopascals and land was not threatened.
Detailed information on storms of all kinds and other natural forces is available on my extensive website:
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